Matchup / REG
Season 2026 / Week 4
KC at LV
AwayKansas City ChiefsOpen team ->at
Sun, Oct 4, 2026, 4:25 PM EDT
Allegiant Stadium
HomeLas Vegas RaidersOpen team ->Personnel matchup
Current personnel view unavailable
Current Team personnel could not be verified for both sides of this matchup.
matchup_personnel_team_products_unavailable
Historical play-calling
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
Pass leanPass 56%
Rush 44%
- Pace
- 63.8 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.011
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
Pass leanPass 54%
Rush 46%
- Pace
- 62.9 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.055
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 4 projection
KC holds the projected offensive edge
+0.202EPA/play gap
Through Week 3
+0.040
EPA/play
23% current evidence · 191 plays
-0.162
EPA/play
23% current evidence · 184 plays
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
KC
+0.010
EPA/play advantage over LV
Recent series
KC 4–2
Series record
+7.7
Avg margin · KC
6 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
moderate · calm wind
72°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
Comparable-condition team performance is not available for this matchup.
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
No current depth-rank-one player carries a non-active roster designation.
Official weekly report
No official Week 4 injury entries were reported.
Roster designations and official weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels come from separate sources.
Projected focal points
- Patrick Mahomes
QB · projected passing yards
6,097.9 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Brashard Smith
RB · projected rushing yards
256.7 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Rashee Rice
WR · projected receiving yards
970.7 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- Aidan O'Connell
QB · projected passing yards
173.4 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Ashton Jeanty
RB · projected rushing yards
1,657.5 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Tre Tucker
WR · projected receiving yards
1,183.2 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
Some supporting sections are not currently available.
Season Pass matchup briefing
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
Market fields are not yet reported.
Market as-of time was not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule. Model and Analyst evidence is shown only after access, freshness, identity, and publication checks pass.
- Matchup
- KC at LV
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported
- Analysis status
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