Matchup / REG
Season 2026 / Week 4
IND at WAS
AwayIndianapolis ColtsOpen team ->at
Sun, Oct 4, 2026, 9:30 AM EDT
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
HomeWashington CommandersOpen team ->Personnel matchup
Current personnel view unavailable
Current Team personnel could not be verified for both sides of this matchup.
matchup_personnel_team_products_unavailable
Historical play-calling
IND
Indianapolis Colts
Pass leanPass 57%
Rush 43%
- Pace
- 64.6 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.028
WAS
Washington Commanders
Pass leanPass 55%
Rush 45%
- Pace
- 63.7 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.015
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 4 projection
IND holds the projected offensive edge
+0.035EPA/play gap
Through Week 3
+0.105
EPA/play
24% current evidence · 187 plays
+0.069
EPA/play
22% current evidence · 198 plays
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
WAS
+0.093
EPA/play advantage over IND
Recent series
No recent series edge is available.
0 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
moderate · calm wind
59°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
Comparable-condition team performance is not available for this matchup.
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
No current depth-rank-one player carries a non-active roster designation.
Official weekly report
- Nick Cross
SS / Illness / Did Not Participate In Practice / Out
Current depth rank 1
- Sam Cosmi
G / Concussion / Did Not Participate In Practice / Out
Projected focal points
- Daniel Jones
QB · projected passing yards
5,271.7 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Jonathan Taylor
RB · projected rushing yards
2,694.5 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Alec Pierce
WR · projected receiving yards
1,705.1 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- Marcus Mariota
QB · projected passing yards
2,881.5 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt
RB · projected rushing yards
1,368.5 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Terry McLaurin
WR · projected receiving yards
989.4 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 9/18/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
Some supporting sections are not currently available.
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- IND moneyline
- -102
- WAS moneyline
- -118
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 50.5
Reported line +1.5
Market as-of time was not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule. Model and Analyst evidence is shown only after access, freshness, identity, and publication checks pass.
- Matchup
- IND at WAS
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported
- Analysis status
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