Matchup / REG
Season 2026 / Week 2
PIT at NE
AwayPittsburgh SteelersOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 1:00 PM EDT
Gillette Stadium
HomeNew England PatriotsOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Pittsburgh Steelers offense
Provider-listed personnel
New England Patriots defense
Provider-listed personnel
Historical play-calling
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pass leanPass 56%
Rush 44%
- Pace
- 64.0 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.002
NE
New England Patriots
Pass leanPass 58%
Rush 42%
- Pace
- 64.8 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.038
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 2 projection
NE holds the projected offensive edge
+0.079EPA/play gap
Through Week 1
-0.010
EPA/play
+0.068
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
NE
+0.176
EPA/play advantage over PIT
Recent series
Even 1–1
Series record
+2.0
Avg margin · PIT
2 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
moderate · calm wind
72°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
high sample confidencePass response
+0.019
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.030
EPA/play vs team normal
21 comparable games · 1292 offensive plays
NE
New England Patriots
high sample confidencePass response
-0.050
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.015
EPA/play vs team normal
17 comparable games · 1096 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
Current roster designations are not verified for this matchup.
Official weekly report
Official Week 2 injury report status has not been verified.
Roster designations and official weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels come from separate sources.
Projected focal points
No supported current-roster focal points are available.
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 8/7/2026, 6:50:11 PM.
Some supporting sections are not currently available.
Season Pass matchup briefing
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- PIT moneyline
- +185
- NE moneyline
- -225
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 43.5
Reported line +4.5
Market as-of time was not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule. Model and Analyst evidence is shown only after access, freshness, identity, and publication checks pass.
- Matchup
- PIT at NE
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported
- Analysis status
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