Matchup / REG
Season 2026 / Week 2
MIA at SF
AwayMiami DolphinsOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 4:25 PM EDT
Levi's Stadium
HomeSan Francisco 49ersOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Miami Dolphins offense
Provider-listed personnel
San Francisco 49ers defense
Provider-listed personnel
Historical play-calling
MIA
Miami Dolphins
Pass leanPass 55%
Rush 45%
- Pace
- 63.6 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.020
SF
San Francisco 49ers
Pass leanPass 57%
Rush 43%
- Pace
- 64.3 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.017
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 2 projection
SF holds the projected offensive edge
+0.096EPA/play gap
Through Week 1
+0.045
EPA/play
+0.142
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
MIA
+0.145
EPA/play advantage over SF
Recent series
MIA 1–0
Series record
+12.0
Avg margin · MIA
1 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
warm · calm wind
81°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
MIA
Miami Dolphins
medium sample confidencePass response
+0.051
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.034
EPA/play vs team normal
6 comparable games · 352 offensive plays
SF
San Francisco 49ers
low sample confidencePass response
+0.058
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.014
EPA/play vs team normal
3 comparable games · 164 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
Current roster designations are not verified for this matchup.
Official weekly report
Official Week 2 injury report status has not been verified.
Roster designations and official weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels come from separate sources.
Projected focal points
No supported current-roster focal points are available.
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 8/7/2026, 6:50:11 PM.
Some supporting sections are not currently available.
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- MIA moneyline
- +410
- SF moneyline
- -550
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 46.5
Reported line +10.5
Market as-of time was not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule. Model and Analyst evidence is shown only after access, freshness, identity, and publication checks pass.
- Matchup
- MIA at SF
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported
- Analysis status
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