Matchup / REG
Season 2026 / Week 2
JAX at DEN
AwayJacksonville JaguarsOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 4:05 PM EDT
Empower Field at Mile High
HomeDenver BroncosOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Jacksonville Jaguars offense
Provider-listed personnel
Denver Broncos defense
Provider-listed personnel
Historical play-calling
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
Pass leanPass 57%
Rush 43%
- Pace
- 64.6 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.031
DEN
Denver Broncos
Pass leanPass 56%
Rush 44%
- Pace
- 64.0 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.002
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 2 projection
DEN holds the projected offensive edge
+0.077EPA/play gap
Through Week 1
-0.068
EPA/play
+0.010
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
JAX
+0.059
EPA/play advantage over DEN
Recent series
JAX 1–0
Series record
+14.0
Avg margin · JAX
1 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
warm · calm wind
79°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
medium sample confidencePass response
+0.039
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.013
EPA/play vs team normal
6 comparable games · 389 offensive plays
DEN
Denver Broncos
medium sample confidencePass response
+0.004
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.008
EPA/play vs team normal
6 comparable games · 382 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
Current roster designations are not verified for this matchup.
Official weekly report
Official Week 2 injury report status has not been verified.
Roster designations and official weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels come from separate sources.
Projected focal points
No supported current-roster focal points are available.
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 8/7/2026, 6:50:11 PM.
Some supporting sections are not currently available.
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- JAX moneyline
- +120
- DEN moneyline
- -142
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 43.5
Reported line +2.5
Market as-of time was not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule. Model and Analyst evidence is shown only after access, freshness, identity, and publication checks pass.
- Matchup
- JAX at DEN
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported
- Analysis status
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