Matchup / REG
Season 2026 / Week 2
IND at KC
AwayIndianapolis ColtsOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 20, 2026, 8:20 PM EDT
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
HomeKansas City ChiefsOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Indianapolis Colts offense
Provider-listed personnel
Kansas City Chiefs defense
Provider-listed personnel
Historical play-calling
IND
Indianapolis Colts
Pass leanPass 57%
Rush 43%
- Pace
- 64.6 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.028
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
Pass leanPass 56%
Rush 44%
- Pace
- 63.8 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.011
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 2 projection
KC holds the projected offensive edge
+0.051EPA/play gap
Through Week 1
+0.014
EPA/play
+0.065
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
KC
+0.038
EPA/play advantage over IND
Recent series
KC 1–0
Series record
+3.0
Avg margin · KC
1 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
warm · calm wind
79°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
IND
Indianapolis Colts
sample unavailableNo supported comparable-condition sample.
2 comparable games · 110 offensive plays
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
low sample confidencePass response
+0.013
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.009
EPA/play vs team normal
3 comparable games · 205 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
Current roster designations are not verified for this matchup.
Official weekly report
Official Week 2 injury report status has not been verified.
Roster designations and official weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels come from separate sources.
Projected focal points
No supported current-roster focal points are available.
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 8/7/2026, 6:50:11 PM.
Some supporting sections are not currently available.
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- IND moneyline
- +230
- KC moneyline
- -285
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 47.5
Reported line +6.5
Market as-of time was not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule. Model and Analyst evidence is shown only after access, freshness, identity, and publication checks pass.
- Matchup
- IND at KC
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported
- Analysis status
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