Matchup / REG
Season 2026 / Week 2
DET at BUF
AwayDetroit LionsOpen team ->at
Thu, Sep 17, 2026, 8:15 PM EDT
Highmark Stadium
HomeBuffalo BillsOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Detroit Lions offense
Provider-listed personnel
Buffalo Bills defense
Provider-listed personnel
Historical play-calling
DET
Detroit Lions
Pass leanPass 57%
Rush 43%
- Pace
- 64.7 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.034
BUF
Buffalo Bills
Pass leanPass 57%
Rush 43%
- Pace
- 64.7 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.035
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 2 projection
BUF holds the projected offensive edge
+0.025EPA/play gap
Through Week 1
+0.094
EPA/play
+0.119
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
BUF
+0.094
EPA/play advantage over DET
Recent series
BUF 1–0
Series record
+6.0
Avg margin · BUF
1 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
moderate · calm wind
73°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
DET
Detroit Lions
low sample confidencePass response
+0.077
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.057
EPA/play vs team normal
5 comparable games · 343 offensive plays
BUF
Buffalo Bills
high sample confidencePass response
+0.005
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.029
EPA/play vs team normal
20 comparable games · 1313 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
Current roster designations are not verified for this matchup.
Official weekly report
Official Week 2 injury report status has not been verified.
Roster designations and official weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels come from separate sources.
Projected focal points
No supported current-roster focal points are available.
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 8/7/2026, 6:50:11 PM.
Some supporting sections are not currently available.
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- DET moneyline
- +130
- BUF moneyline
- -155
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 52.5
Reported line +3
Market as-of time was not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule. Model and Analyst evidence is shown only after access, freshness, identity, and publication checks pass.
- Matchup
- DET at BUF
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported
- Analysis status
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