Scheduled / REG
Season 2026 / Week 1
WAS at PHI
AwayWashington CommandersOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 13, 2026, 4:25 PM EDT
Lincoln Financial Field
HomePhiladelphia EaglesOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Washington Commanders offense
3WR 1TE
Philadelphia Eagles defense
Base 3-4 D
Historical play-calling
WAS
Washington Commanders
Pass leanPass 55%
Rush 45%
- Pace
- 63.7 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.013
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
Pass leanPass 56%
Rush 44%
- Pace
- 63.9 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.005
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 1 projection
PHI holds the projected offensive edge
+0.163EPA/play gap
Preseason model
No 2026 games
-0.021
EPA/play
+0.142
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
WAS
+0.069
EPA/play advantage over PHI
Recent series
PHI 5–2
Series record
+7.3
Avg margin · PHI
7 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
warm · calm wind
80°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
WAS
Washington Commanders
low sample confidencePass response
+0.037
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.025
EPA/play vs team normal
5 comparable games · 309 offensive plays
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
sample unavailableNo supported comparable-condition sample.
1 comparable games · 55 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
No current depth-rank-one player carries a non-active roster designation.
Official weekly report
Official Week 1 injury reports are not open yet.
Current roster designations above are not weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels.
Projected focal points
- Marcus Mariota
QB · projected passing yards
1,440.75 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt
RB · projected rushing yards
684.25 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Terry McLaurin
WR · projected receiving yards
494.7 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- Jalen Hurts
QB · projected passing yards
2,883.2 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Saquon Barkley
RB · projected rushing yards
1,059.1 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- DeVonta Smith
WR · projected receiving yards
865.394 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 7/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
- features.matchup_expected_epa_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:55Z
- features.projected_player_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.projected_team_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.team_opponent_adjusted_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:15:14Z
- features.weather_features_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:28:45Z
- prediction_package_manifest_v1 · 2026-07-13T12:28:15.885867Z
- raw_nflfastr.teams · 2026-01-25T08:11:23Z
- runtime_schedule_provider · 2026-07-18T14:08:31.933587Z
- warehouse.dim_game · 2026-07-06T07:28:44Z
- warehouse.fact_play · 2026-07-06T07:08:49Z
- warehouse.player_availability · 2026-07-23T00:54:35Z
Section limits: current coach identity unavailable, forecast window not open seasonal outlook, future league reporting window
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- WAS moneyline
- +180
- PHI moneyline
- -218
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 47.5
Reported line +4.5
Market source and as-of time were not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule contract. Model and analyst evidence uses the separately protected Matchup product contract and is shown only after entitlement, environment, freshness, canonical identity, and real-LLM evidence checks pass.
- Canonical game ID
- 2026_01_WAS_PHI
- Public identity
- WAS at PHI
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported by schedule
- Analysis boundary
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