Matchup / REG
Season 2026 / Week 1
TB at CIN
AwayTampa Bay BuccaneersOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 13, 2026, 1:00 PM EDT
Paycor Stadium
HomeCincinnati BengalsOpen team ->Personnel matchup
Current personnel view unavailable
Current Team personnel could not be verified for both sides of this matchup.
matchup_personnel_team_products_unavailable
Historical play-calling
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Pass leanPass 56%
Rush 44%
- Pace
- 63.9 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.004
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals
Pass leanPass 56%
Rush 44%
- Pace
- 64.2 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.009
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 1 projection
TB holds the projected offensive edge
+0.074EPA/play gap
Preseason model
No 2026 games
+0.128
EPA/play
+0.054
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
TB
+0.082
EPA/play advantage over CIN
Recent series
No recent series edge is available.
0 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
warm · calm wind
80°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
medium sample confidencePass response
+0.050
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.010
EPA/play vs team normal
7 comparable games · 469 offensive plays
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals
low sample confidencePass response
+0.003
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.020
EPA/play vs team normal
4 comparable games · 232 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
Current roster designations are not verified for this matchup.
Official weekly report
Official Week 1 injury reports are not open yet.
Roster designations and official weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels come from separate sources.
Projected focal points
- Baker Mayfield
QB · projected passing yards
3,139.05 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Emeka Egbuka
WR · projected receiving yards
797.3 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- Joe Burrow
QB · projected passing yards
1,537.65 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Ja'Marr Chase
WR · projected receiving yards
1,200.2 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 7/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
Some supporting sections are not currently available.
Season Pass matchup briefing
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- TB moneyline
- +160
- CIN moneyline
- -192
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 52.5
Reported line +3.5
Market as-of time was not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule. Model and Analyst evidence is shown only after access, freshness, identity, and publication checks pass.
- Matchup
- TB at CIN
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported
- Analysis status
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