Scheduled / REG
Season 2026 / Week 1
SF at LAR
AwaySan Francisco 49ersOpen team ->at
Thu, Sep 10, 2026, 8:35 PM EDT
Melbourne Cricket Ground
HomeLos Angeles RamsOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
San Francisco 49ers offense
3WR 1TE
Los Angeles Rams defense
Base 3-4 D
Historical play-calling
SF
San Francisco 49ers
Pass leanPass 57%
Rush 43%
- Pace
- 64.4 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.018
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
Pass leanPass 58%
Rush 42%
- Pace
- 65.0 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.048
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 1 projection
LAR holds the projected offensive edge
+0.075EPA/play gap
Preseason model
No 2026 games
+0.081
EPA/play
+0.157
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
LAR
+0.156
EPA/play advantage over SF
Recent series
Even 1–1
Series record
+6.5
Avg margin · LAR
2 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
moderate · calm wind
62°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
SF
San Francisco 49ers
high sample confidencePass response
-0.014
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.023
EPA/play vs team normal
20 comparable games · 1243 offensive plays
LAR
Los Angeles Rams
high sample confidencePass response
-0.041
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.018
EPA/play vs team normal
22 comparable games · 1403 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
No current depth-rank-one player carries a non-active roster designation.
Official weekly report
Official Week 1 injury reports are not open yet.
Current roster designations above are not weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels.
Projected focal points
- Brock Purdy
QB · projected passing yards
2,183.65 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Christian McCaffrey
RB · projected rushing yards
977.276 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- George Kittle
WR · projected receiving yards
538.9 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- Matthew Stafford
QB · projected passing yards
4,077.068 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Kyren Williams
RB · projected rushing yards
1,036.788 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Puka Nacua
WR · projected receiving yards
1,556.797 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 7/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
- features.matchup_expected_epa_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:55Z
- features.projected_player_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.projected_team_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.team_opponent_adjusted_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:15:14Z
- features.weather_features_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:28:45Z
- prediction_package_manifest_v1 · 2026-07-13T12:28:15.885867Z
- raw_nflfastr.teams · 2026-01-25T08:11:23Z
- runtime_schedule_provider · 2026-07-18T14:08:31.933587Z
- warehouse.dim_game · 2026-07-06T07:28:44Z
- warehouse.fact_play · 2026-07-06T07:08:49Z
- warehouse.player_availability · 2026-07-23T00:54:35Z
Section limits: current coach identity unavailable, forecast window not open seasonal outlook, future league reporting window
Season Pass matchup briefing
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- SF moneyline
- +154
- LAR moneyline
- -185
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 48.5
Reported line +3.5
Market source and as-of time were not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule contract. Model and analyst evidence uses the separately protected Matchup product contract and is shown only after entitlement, environment, freshness, canonical identity, and real-LLM evidence checks pass.
- Canonical game ID
- 2026_01_SF_LAR
- Public identity
- SF at LAR
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported by schedule
- Analysis boundary
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