Scheduled / REG
Season 2026 / Week 1
NE at SEA
AwayNew England PatriotsOpen team ->at
Wed, Sep 9, 2026, 8:20 PM EDT
Lumen Field
HomeSeattle SeahawksOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
New England Patriots offense
3WR 1TE
Seattle Seahawks defense
Base 3-4 D
Historical play-calling
NE
New England Patriots
Pass leanPass 58%
Rush 42%
- Pace
- 64.8 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.038
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
Pass leanPass 57%
Rush 43%
- Pace
- 64.7 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.035
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 1 projection
SEA holds the projected offensive edge
+0.015EPA/play gap
Preseason model
No 2026 games
+0.001
EPA/play
+0.017
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
SEA
+0.056
EPA/play advantage over NE
Recent series
SEA 2–0
Series record
+9.5
Avg margin · SEA
2 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
moderate · calm wind
74°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
NE
New England Patriots
high sample confidencePass response
-0.033
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.017
EPA/play vs team normal
18 comparable games · 1168 offensive plays
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
high sample confidencePass response
-0.011
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.002
EPA/play vs team normal
30 comparable games · 1740 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
No current depth-rank-one player carries a non-active roster designation.
Official weekly report
Official Week 1 injury reports are not open yet.
Current roster designations above are not weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels.
Projected focal points
- Drake Maye
QB · projected passing yards
3,593.233 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- TreVeyon Henderson
RB · projected rushing yards
679.15 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Hunter Henry
WR · projected receiving yards
605.524 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- Sam Darnold
QB · projected passing yards
3,410.2 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Zach Charbonnet
RB · projected rushing yards
637.5 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR · projected receiving yards
1,439.22 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 7/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
- features.matchup_expected_epa_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:55Z
- features.projected_player_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.projected_team_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.team_opponent_adjusted_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:15:14Z
- features.weather_features_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:28:45Z
- prediction_package_manifest_v1 · 2026-07-13T12:28:15.885867Z
- raw_nflfastr.teams · 2026-01-25T08:11:23Z
- runtime_schedule_provider · 2026-07-18T14:08:31.933587Z
- warehouse.dim_game · 2026-07-06T07:28:44Z
- warehouse.fact_play · 2026-07-06T07:08:49Z
- warehouse.player_availability · 2026-07-23T00:54:35Z
Section limits: current coach identity unavailable, forecast window not open seasonal outlook, future league reporting window
Season Pass matchup briefing
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- NE moneyline
- +164
- SEA moneyline
- -198
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 44.5
Reported line +3.5
Market source and as-of time were not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule contract. Model and analyst evidence uses the separately protected Matchup product contract and is shown only after entitlement, environment, freshness, canonical identity, and real-LLM evidence checks pass.
- Canonical game ID
- 2026_01_NE_SEA
- Public identity
- NE at SEA
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported by schedule
- Analysis boundary
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