Scheduled / REG
Season 2026 / Week 1
MIA at LV
AwayMiami DolphinsOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 13, 2026, 4:25 PM EDT
Allegiant Stadium
HomeLas Vegas RaidersOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Miami Dolphins offense
3WR 1TE
Las Vegas Raiders defense
Base 3-4 D
Historical play-calling
MIA
Miami Dolphins
Pass leanPass 55%
Rush 45%
- Pace
- 63.7 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.017
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
Pass leanPass 54%
Rush 46%
- Pace
- 62.9 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.057
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 1 projection
MIA holds the projected offensive edge
+0.122EPA/play gap
Preseason model
No 2026 games
+0.005
EPA/play
-0.117
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
MIA
+0.078
EPA/play advantage over LV
Recent series
MIA 2–0
Series record
+11.0
Avg margin · MIA
2 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
moderate · calm wind
72°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
MIA
Miami Dolphins
high sample confidencePass response
-0.043
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.024
EPA/play vs team normal
12 comparable games · 729 offensive plays
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
medium sample confidencePass response
+0.021
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.021
EPA/play vs team normal
8 comparable games · 445 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
No current depth-rank-one player carries a non-active roster designation.
Official weekly report
Official Week 1 injury reports are not open yet.
Current roster designations above are not weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels.
Projected focal points
- De'Von Achane
RB · projected rushing yards
1,147.5 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Greg Dulcich
WR · projected receiving yards
284.75 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- Aidan O'Connell
QB · projected passing yards
86.7 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Ashton Jeanty
RB · projected rushing yards
828.75 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Tre Tucker
WR · projected receiving yards
591.6 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 7/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
- features.matchup_expected_epa_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:55Z
- features.projected_player_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.projected_team_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.team_opponent_adjusted_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:15:14Z
- features.weather_features_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:28:45Z
- prediction_package_manifest_v1 · 2026-07-13T12:28:15.885867Z
- raw_nflfastr.teams · 2026-01-25T08:11:23Z
- runtime_schedule_provider · 2026-07-18T14:08:31.933587Z
- warehouse.dim_game · 2026-07-06T07:28:44Z
- warehouse.fact_play · 2026-07-06T07:08:49Z
- warehouse.player_availability · 2026-07-23T00:54:35Z
Section limits: current coach identity unavailable, forecast window not open seasonal outlook, future league reporting window
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- MIA moneyline
- +164
- LV moneyline
- -198
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 40.5
Reported line +3.5
Market source and as-of time were not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule contract. Model and analyst evidence uses the separately protected Matchup product contract and is shown only after entitlement, environment, freshness, canonical identity, and real-LLM evidence checks pass.
- Canonical game ID
- 2026_01_MIA_LV
- Public identity
- MIA at LV
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported by schedule
- Analysis boundary
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