Scheduled / REG
Season 2026 / Week 1
GB at MIN
AwayGreen Bay PackersOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 13, 2026, 4:25 PM EDT
U.S. Bank Stadium
HomeMinnesota VikingsOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Green Bay Packers offense
3WR 1TE
Minnesota Vikings defense
Base 3-4 D
Historical play-calling
GB
Green Bay Packers
Pass leanPass 56%
Rush 44%
- Pace
- 64.0 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.000
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
Pass leanPass 55%
Rush 45%
- Pace
- 63.6 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.018
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 1 projection
GB holds the projected offensive edge
+0.068EPA/play gap
Preseason model
No 2026 games
+0.023
EPA/play
-0.045
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
GB
+0.580
EPA/play advantage over MIN
Recent series
MIN 4–2
Series record
+1.5
Avg margin · GB
6 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
moderate · calm wind
72°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
GB
Green Bay Packers
high sample confidencePass response
+0.012
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.003
EPA/play vs team normal
15 comparable games · 907 offensive plays
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
medium sample confidencePass response
+0.066
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.042
EPA/play vs team normal
11 comparable games · 684 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
No current depth-rank-one player carries a non-active roster designation.
Official weekly report
Official Week 1 injury reports are not open yet.
Current roster designations above are not weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels.
Projected focal points
- Jordan Love
QB · projected passing yards
3,148.4 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Christian Watson
WR · projected receiving yards
549.95 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- J.J. McCarthy
QB · projected passing yards
1,387.2 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Justin Jefferson
WR · projected receiving yards
890.8 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 7/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
- features.matchup_expected_epa_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:55Z
- features.projected_player_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.projected_team_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.team_opponent_adjusted_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:15:14Z
- features.weather_features_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:28:45Z
- prediction_package_manifest_v1 · 2026-07-13T12:28:15.885867Z
- raw_nflfastr.teams · 2026-01-25T08:11:23Z
- runtime_schedule_provider · 2026-07-18T14:08:31.933587Z
- warehouse.dim_game · 2026-07-06T07:28:44Z
- warehouse.fact_play · 2026-07-06T07:08:49Z
- warehouse.player_availability · 2026-07-23T00:54:35Z
Section limits: current coach identity unavailable, forecast window not open seasonal outlook, future league reporting window
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- GB moneyline
- -112
- MIN moneyline
- -108
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 45.5
Reported line -1.5
Market source and as-of time were not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule contract. Model and analyst evidence uses the separately protected Matchup product contract and is shown only after entitlement, environment, freshness, canonical identity, and real-LLM evidence checks pass.
- Canonical game ID
- 2026_01_GB_MIN
- Public identity
- GB at MIN
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported by schedule
- Analysis boundary
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