Scheduled / REG
Season 2026 / Week 1
CLE at JAX
AwayCleveland BrownsOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 13, 2026, 1:00 PM EDT
EverBank Stadium
HomeJacksonville JaguarsOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Cleveland Browns offense
3WR 1TE
Jacksonville Jaguars defense
Base 4-3 D
Historical play-calling
CLE
Cleveland Browns
Pass leanPass 54%
Rush 46%
- Pace
- 63.1 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.043
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
Pass leanPass 57%
Rush 43%
- Pace
- 64.6 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.032
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 1 projection
JAX holds the projected offensive edge
+0.131EPA/play gap
Preseason model
No 2026 games
-0.184
EPA/play
-0.053
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
JAX
+0.115
EPA/play advantage over CLE
Recent series
CLE 2–0
Series record
+4.5
Avg margin · CLE
2 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
hot · calm wind
88°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
CLE
Cleveland Browns
sample unavailableNo supported comparable-condition sample.
0 comparable games · 0 offensive plays
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
low sample confidencePass response
-0.024
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.024
EPA/play vs team normal
3 comparable games · 197 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
WLB · current depth rank 1
FS · current depth rank 1
Official weekly report
Official Week 1 injury reports are not open yet.
Current roster designations above are not weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels.
Projected focal points
- Shedeur Sanders
QB · projected passing yards
1,190 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Quinshon Judkins
RB · projected rushing yards
702.95 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Harold Fannin Jr.
WR · projected receiving yards
621.35 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- Trevor Lawrence
QB · projected passing yards
3,382.906 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Bhayshul Tuten
RB · projected rushing yards
304.3 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Parker Washington
WR · projected receiving yards
810.9 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 7/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
- features.matchup_expected_epa_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:55Z
- features.projected_player_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.projected_team_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.team_opponent_adjusted_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:15:14Z
- features.weather_features_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:28:45Z
- prediction_package_manifest_v1 · 2026-07-13T12:28:15.885867Z
- raw_nflfastr.teams · 2026-01-25T08:11:23Z
- runtime_schedule_provider · 2026-07-18T14:08:31.933587Z
- warehouse.dim_game · 2026-07-06T07:28:44Z
- warehouse.fact_play · 2026-07-06T07:08:49Z
- warehouse.player_availability · 2026-07-23T00:54:35Z
Section limits: current coach identity unavailable, forecast window not open seasonal outlook, official injury report not open
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- CLE moneyline
- +320
- JAX moneyline
- -410
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 40.5
Reported line +7.5
Market source and as-of time were not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule contract. Model and analyst evidence uses the separately protected Matchup product contract and is shown only after entitlement, environment, freshness, canonical identity, and real-LLM evidence checks pass.
- Canonical game ID
- 2026_01_CLE_JAX
- Public identity
- CLE at JAX
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported by schedule
- Analysis boundary
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