Scheduled / REG
Season 2026 / Week 1
CHI at CAR
AwayChicago BearsOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 13, 2026, 1:00 PM EDT
Bank of America Stadium
HomeCarolina PanthersOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Chicago Bears offense
3WR 1TE
Carolina Panthers defense
Base 3-4 D
Historical play-calling
CHI
Chicago Bears
Pass leanPass 57%
Rush 43%
- Pace
- 64.4 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- +0.019
CAR
Carolina Panthers
Pass leanPass 55%
Rush 45%
- Pace
- 63.4 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.031
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 1 projection
CHI holds the projected offensive edge
+0.133EPA/play gap
Preseason model
No 2026 games
+0.109
EPA/play
-0.023
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
CHI
+0.097
EPA/play advantage over CAR
Recent series
CHI 2–0
Series record
+14.5
Avg margin · CHI
2 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
warm · calm wind
84°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
CHI
Chicago Bears
low sample confidencePass response
+0.022
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.008
EPA/play vs team normal
4 comparable games · 250 offensive plays
CAR
Carolina Panthers
high sample confidencePass response
-0.024
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.025
EPA/play vs team normal
12 comparable games · 732 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
No current depth-rank-one player carries a non-active roster designation.
Official weekly report
Official Week 1 injury reports are not open yet.
Current roster designations above are not weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels.
Projected focal points
- Caleb Williams
QB · projected passing yards
3,468 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- D'Andre Swift
RB · projected rushing yards
976.981 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Colston Loveland
WR · projected receiving yards
727.317 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- Bryce Young
QB · projected passing yards
2,783.75 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Chuba Hubbard
RB · projected rushing yards
473.45 yds
highest projected rushing volume on current roster
- Tetairoa McMillan
WR · projected receiving yards
878.239 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 7/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
- features.matchup_expected_epa_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:55Z
- features.projected_player_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.projected_team_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.team_opponent_adjusted_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:15:14Z
- features.weather_features_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:28:45Z
- prediction_package_manifest_v1 · 2026-07-13T12:28:15.885867Z
- raw_nflfastr.teams · 2026-01-25T08:11:23Z
- runtime_schedule_provider · 2026-07-18T14:08:31.933587Z
- warehouse.dim_game · 2026-07-06T07:28:44Z
- warehouse.fact_play · 2026-07-06T07:08:49Z
- warehouse.player_availability · 2026-07-23T00:54:35Z
Section limits: current coach identity unavailable, forecast window not open seasonal outlook, future league reporting window
Season Pass matchup briefing
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- CHI moneyline
- -148
- CAR moneyline
- +124
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 44.5
Reported line -2.5
Market source and as-of time were not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule contract. Model and analyst evidence uses the separately protected Matchup product contract and is shown only after entitlement, environment, freshness, canonical identity, and real-LLM evidence checks pass.
- Canonical game ID
- 2026_01_CHI_CAR
- Public identity
- CHI at CAR
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported by schedule
- Analysis boundary
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