Scheduled / REG
Season 2026 / Week 1
ARI at LAC
AwayArizona CardinalsOpen team ->at
Sun, Sep 13, 2026, 4:25 PM EDT
SoFi Stadium
HomeLos Angeles ChargersOpen team ->Personnel matchup
On-field personnel
Arizona Cardinals offense
3WR 1TE
Los Angeles Chargers defense
Base 3-4 D
Historical play-calling
ARI
Arizona Cardinals
Pass leanPass 55%
Rush 45%
- Pace
- 63.7 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.014
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Pass leanPass 56%
Rush 44%
- Pace
- 63.8 plays / game
- Offensive EPA
- -0.009
2025 baseline · projected context
Week 1 projection
LAC holds the projected offensive edge
+0.133EPA/play gap
Preseason model
No 2026 games
-0.055
EPA/play
+0.078
EPA/play
2025 historical baseline
Opponent Stress Test
Strong-opponent edge
ARI
+0.202
EPA/play advantage over LAC
Recent series
ARI 1–0
Series record
+2.0
Avg margin · ARI
1 completed meetings in prior 3 seasons
Weaker opponents
Average opponents
Stronger opponents
Projected weather
moderate · calm wind
72°
Historical response
Offense in similar conditions
2023–2025
ARI
Arizona Cardinals
medium sample confidencePass response
-0.070
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
-0.045
EPA/play vs team normal
10 comparable games · 622 offensive plays
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
medium sample confidencePass response
-0.094
EPA/play vs team normal
Rush response
+0.022
EPA/play vs team normal
7 comparable games · 417 offensive plays
Personnel watch
Personnel availability and projected focal points
Current roster designations
No current depth-rank-one player carries a non-active roster designation.
Official weekly report
Official Week 1 injury reports are not open yet.
Current roster designations above are not weekly Out, Questionable, or Doubtful labels.
Projected focal points
- Jacoby Brissett
QB · projected passing yards
2,861.1 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Trey McBride
WR · projected receiving yards
1,053.15 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
- Justin Herbert
QB · projected passing yards
3,303.1 yds
highest projected passing volume on current roster
- Ladd McConkey
WR · projected receiving yards
697.85 yds
highest projected receiving volume on current roster
Coverage: one current-roster QB, RB, and WR projection per team when supported
Intelligence sources and limits
Status partial; source as of 7/3/2026, 12:00:00 AM.
- features.matchup_expected_epa_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:55Z
- features.projected_player_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.projected_team_stats_season_v1 · 2026-07-24T04:22:54Z
- features.team_opponent_adjusted_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:15:14Z
- features.weather_features_v1 · 2026-07-06T07:28:45Z
- prediction_package_manifest_v1 · 2026-07-13T12:28:15.885867Z
- raw_nflfastr.teams · 2026-01-25T08:11:23Z
- runtime_schedule_provider · 2026-07-18T14:08:31.933587Z
- warehouse.dim_game · 2026-07-06T07:28:44Z
- warehouse.fact_play · 2026-07-06T07:08:49Z
- warehouse.player_availability · 2026-07-23T00:54:35Z
Section limits: current coach identity unavailable, forecast window not open seasonal outlook, future league reporting window
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Tale of the tape
Market comparison
Reported lines for context, not a stake or wagering instruction.
- ARI moneyline
- +455
- LAC moneyline
- -625
- Spread side
- Team not supplied
- Game total
- 46.5
Reported line +11.5
Market source and as-of time were not supplied by the public schedule.
Data and methodology
Team identity and baseline game facts come from the public schedule contract. Model and analyst evidence uses the separately protected Matchup product contract and is shown only after entitlement, environment, freshness, canonical identity, and real-LLM evidence checks pass.
- Canonical game ID
- 2026_01_ARI_LAC
- Public identity
- ARI at LAC
- Product status
- not presented
- Freshness
- not reported by schedule
- Analysis boundary
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